Ryan Fitzpatrick vs The Bills: An Opportunist

Statistics let us remove emotional stimuli and focus on the hard truth of what happens. But we need to place statistics into their environment to gain context and understand what’s really happening. Fitzpatrick having 60% accuracy doesn’t tell you any real information, but 60% accuracy throwing against man coverage gives you something to work with. That’s the purpose of this season-long project.

Let’s get this out of the way, these numbers aren’t fully objective. There’s a lot of subjectivity involved with interceptables, drops, single vs full reads, and even what the coverage faced is. This is still a subjective analysis. It’s just adding numbers to that subjective analysis.

Vindication came one Bills matchup too late, but it was vindication nonetheless for Ryan Fitzpatrick. An entire week analyzing Fitzpatrick’s road performances and history against Rex Ryan came to the forefront of NFL media after a poor performance against the Bengals. But only one sub-par drive stood between Fitzpatrick and his best performance as a Jet yet.

Ryan Fitzpatrick context stats vs bills 2016 week 2 - deep throws
Drops and Defensive Penalties are ignred by the ANY/A and % column since Fitzpatrick can’t be at fault for those plays.

Six of Fitzpatrick’s 10 throws past the 20 yard line were caught, and two of the four that fell incomplete weren’t his fault. Were the offseason stories about improved arm strength true? They might be.

Read the rest of Ryan Fitzpatrick’s Context Stats against the Bills at Turn On The Jets.


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