Ryan Fitzpatrick vs The Chiefs – The Undoing of Narratives

Statistics let us remove emotional stimuli and focus on the hard truth of what happens. But we need to place statistics into their environment to gain context and understand what’s really happening. Fitzpatrick having 60% accuracy doesn’t tell you any real information, but 60% accuracy throwing against man coverage gives you something to work with. That’s the purpose of this season-long project.

Let’s get this out of the way, these numbers aren’t completely objective. There’s a lot of subjectivity involved with interceptables, drops, single vs full reads, and even what the coverage faced is. This is still a subjective analysis. It’s just adding numbers to that subjective analysis.

Quarterbacks put on the green and white uniform and then put together disastrous performance art. We’ve seen it again and again. Sometimes there are good excuses for them, but not always. I obsess about recognizing the context of every detail of events because everything that occurs builds off previous occurrences that were far outside the control of those involved. That’s how life works, that’s how football works.

Ryan Fitzpatrick is on one of the most talented Jets offenses that has ever been assembled. The receivers contain three technically skilled and athletically gifted monsters. They separate easily, create yards all on their own, and make spectacular catches. In the backfield sits one of the leagues best receiving backs and best complimentary players, although their skillsets are redundant. The tight ends are a burning building. But the offensive line has held together well in their three games together. Inside of the Jets quick passing scheme they’re not a liability. That passing scheme is designed by an incredible coordinator who has gotten nearly every subpar player under his reign to play up to a capable level.

There is a lack of reasonable excuses for what happened in this game, and the context stats support that.

screen-shot-2016-09-28-at-10-46-10-pm
Runs count as attempts and completions too, but Sacks only count as attempts.

Fitz threw 8 potential interceptions without ever being under pressure. He reached a rate of throwing 1 pass that was turnover worthy every 4 plays without resistance against him. Entirely through his own will, he made 8 different decisions that could’ve led to an interception. This doesn’t even include his random fumble that occurred early in the game, which is another potential turnover he was very lucky to recover.

Read the rest of Ryan Fitzpatrick’s Context Stats against the Chiefs at Turn On The Jets.

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s