Statistics let us remove emotional stimuli and focus on the hard truth of what happens. But we need to place statistics into their environment to gain context and understand what’s really happening. Geno Smith having 60% accuracy doesn’t tell you any information, but 60% accuracy throwing against man coverage gives you something to work with. That’s the purpose of this season-long project.
Let’s get this out of the way, these numbers aren’t completely objective. There’s a lot of subjectivity involved with interceptables, drops, single vs full reads, and even what the coverage faced is. This is still a subjective analysis. It’s just adding numbers to that subjective analysis.
If you want to bounce back, face the Browns. That’s the case with this week’s analysis, since nothing about Fitzpatrick’s play changed but the results and box score were drastically different.
That was Fitzpatrick’s passing chart in week 8. An ineffective game wherein he gave four interception opportunities to the leagues 30th ranked defense in DVOA. This chart isn’t noticeably different than his normal passing chart, showing how much quality of opponent plays a part in our perception of a players game.