Context Stats: Bryce Petty vs The Rams – Is This Thing On?

Statistics let us remove emotional stimuli and focus on the hard truth of what happens. But we need to place statistics into their environment to gain context and understand what’s really happening. Bryce Petty having 60% accuracy doesn’t tell you any information, but 60% accuracy throwing against man coverage gives you something to work with. That’s the purpose of this season-long project.

Let’s get this out of the way, these numbers aren’t completely objective. There’s a lot of subjectivity involved with interceptables, drops, single vs full reads, and even what the coverage faced is. This is still a subjective analysis. It’s just adding numbers to that subjective analysis.

Bryce Petty was not a great watch this week. He wasn’t a great watch in pre-season either. I didn’t think he was a great watch in college too. I’m not a Bryce Petty fan and that will likely leak into my personal analysis of him but it doesn’t leak into the objective numerical one; which is the basis of that personal analysis. Before we dive into the numbers and film, the stage needs to be set.

Bryce Petty is facing a team with very good pass rushing talent. Quinn, Hayes, Donald, Brockers; all scary guys. The best way to deal with these players is quick passes and this weeks playcalling was biased towards the short passing game. However, for most of this game, Bryce Petty did not look like a player who could be trusted to play the short game.

Bryce Petty Context Stats Los Angeles Rams Week 11 - Distance
85% of Bryce Petty’s passes remained in the first 9 yards from the line of scrimmage. Fitzpatrick had 57% for the entire season, and I considered him someone who was quick to checkdown.

Petty was inefficient. That’s the most basic thing to take away from this game and you don’t need context stats to tell you that. Despite having 85% of his passes in the short area, he only threw 1 pass in stride according to my count. That’s very not good. That’s actually bad. It’s why his YPA is only 4.62 even though he completed nearly 75% of the passes in the area. It’s an extreme lack of efficiency requiring a high volume to work.



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