Context Stats: Bryce Petty vs the 49ers –

Statistics let us remove emotional stimuli and focus on the hard truth of what happens. But we need to place statistics into their environment to gain context and understand what’s really happening. Bryce Petty having 60% accuracy doesn’t tell you any information, but 60% accuracy throwing against man coverage gives you something to work with. That’s the purpose of this season-long project.

Let’s get this out of the way, these numbers aren’t objective. There’s a lot of subjectivity involved with interceptables, drops, single vs full reads, and even what the coverage faced is. This is still a subjective analysis. It’s just adding numbers to that subjective analysis.

So, Bryce Petty started off well.

It took a long collapse of one of the leagues most overrated players (yeah, even a player who isn’t good can be overrated) but finally, Petty got in. He didn’t start well at all, or play well altogether, but compared to the first start against the Rams it was a night and day difference. We got to see full Petty. We got to see who Bryce Petty is overall as a player right now.

The interception above isn’t worth dwelling on. It’s a thoughtless pass to Enunwa where the cornerback made a great play and Enunwa ran a bad route, turning before he was supposed to. Petty had no control over that interception, and the only thing he could do is rifle it harder- although that’s not really within his power. The pre-snap read is fine and this throw is made entirely off that read (off coverage against a short curl). So don’t overthink it.

READ THE REST OF BRYCE PETTY’S CONTEXT STATS VS THE 49ERS AT TURN ON THE JETS.

Leave a comment